Updated for 2007
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Freeze Data: Ritzville, Washington


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Spring Freeze Probabilities

Probability of Overnight Low Temperature Less Than X, by Date
Temperature °F. Earliest 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Latest
36.5 05/10 05/17 05/21 05/30 06/06 06/09 06/14 06/19 06/29 07/01 07/18
32.5 04/04 04/26 05/05 05/09 05/12 05/16 05/20 05/25 05/29 06/02 06/13
28.5 03/17 04/13 04/16 04/26 04/28 05/02 05/05 05/06 05/11 05/16 05/29
24.5 02/08 03/06 03/19 03/28 04/05 04/11 04/15 04/18 04/25 04/30 05/29
20.5 01/03 01/31 02/12 02/16 03/03 03/04 03/09 03/23 03/30 04/18 04/30

For example, on May 5th there is a 70% chance that the nightly low will be at or below 32.5 °F., but by June 2nd there is only a 10% chance of seeing an overnight low below that temperature. For temperatures in between those shown, one can interpolate by gosh and by golly, or check this graph of the full data.

Frost-free periods graph



Fall Freeze Probabilities

Probability of Overnight Low Temperature Less Than X, by Date
Temperature °F. Earliest 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Latest
36.5 08/18 09/05 09/08 09/15 09/17 09/20 09/22 09/26 10/01 10/06 10/18
32.5 08/23 09/17 09/21 09/23 09/27 09/29 10/02 10/07 10/14 10/17 10/24
28.5 09/14 09/26 10/03 10/08 10/11 10/15 10/17 10/22 10/27 11/01 11/17
24.5 09/24 10/13 10/17 10/25 10/30 11/03 11/05 11/09 11/13 11/17 12/07
20.5 10/09 10/28 10/31 11/06 11/11 11/15 11/21 11/25 11/30 12/12 **/**
**/** = there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't go below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period

For temperatures in between those shown, one can interpolate by gosh and by golly, or check this graph of the full data.

Frost-free periods graph



Freeze-Free Probabilities

Probable Length of "Frost-Free" Season For Various "Frost" Temperatures
Temperature °F. Shortest 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Longest
36.5 40 71 81 90 99 105 108 115 123 133 155
32.5 84 115 120 128 133 135 139 145 149 166 183
28.5 120 140 152 158 164 170 175 178 182 190 229
24.5 149 171 184 197 203 209 212 222 230 249 262
20.5 183 206 231 239 243 251 261 279 284 306 ***
*** = there has been at least one year when a minimum temperature below the threshold was not recorded

For temperatures in between those shown, one can interpolate by gosh and by golly, or check this graph of the full data.

Frost-free periods graph





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